Voters Dismiss Biden’s Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll

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According to polls conducted by the Times and Siena, the percentage of voters who are vehemently opposed to the way in which President Biden is performing his job has reached 47 percent, which is more than at any other point in his term.




As the general election contest between President Biden and Donald J. Trump is about to begin, a new poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College has found that President Biden is struggling to overcome doubts about his leadership within his own party as well as widespread dissatisfaction over the direction the nation is heading. As a result, he is currently trailing behind candidate Trump.

Despite the fact that there are eight months left until the election in November, Mr. Biden’s support, which is 43 percent, is lower than Mr. Trump’s support, which is 48 percent, according to the nationwide survey of registered voters.




Voters Dismiss Biden's Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll
Voters Dismiss Biden’s Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll

There is only one voter out of every four who believes that the nation is heading on the right path. In comparison to the number of people who believe that Mr. Biden’s policies have helped them, more than twice as many voters believe that his policies have injured them personally. The majority of voters are of the opinion that the economy is in a precarious state. The percentage of voters who are vehemently opposed to the way Mr. Biden is doing his job has reached 47 percent, which is greater than any other time in his administration that polls conducted by Times/Siena have been conducted.




The survey provides a number of indicators that should serve as a warning to the president on weaknesses within the Democratic coalition. These weaknesses include voters who identify as Latino, Black, and women. Even though there is still a primary election going on, Mr. Trump has been the one who has been able to best unite his party so far.

A little amount of opposition has been encountered by Mr. Biden as he has made his way through the early nominating states. When it comes to the possibility of Mr. Biden, who is 81 years old and currently serves as the party’s chief executive, heading the party once more, the poll revealed that Democrats continue to be profoundly divided. It is estimated that almost the same number of voters in the Democratic primary voted against Mr. Biden being the nominee in 2024 as voted for him to be the nominee. The opposition was strongest among voters younger than 45 years old.




The capacity of Mr. Trump to unite the base of his own party is prominently displayed in the current thinking of voters in the 2020 election. Mr. Trump has been able to consolidate the Republican base more effectively than Mr. Biden has. Mr. Trump is gaining support from 97 percent of those who have stated that they voted for him four years ago, and almost none of his former followers have stated that they are going to vote for Mr. Biden. On the other hand, Mr. Biden is only gaining 83 percent of the voters who are eligible to vote in 2020, and 10 percent of those voters have stated that they now support Mr. Trump.




Voters Dismiss Biden's Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll
Voters Dismiss Biden’s Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll

Mr. Trump’s lead in the survey, which was carried out in late February, is five points larger than the edge he had in the most recent national poll of registered voters, which was conducted by Times/Siena in December. At this moment, Mr. Trump is leading by four percentage points among the people who are most likely to vote for him.

Mr. Trump led by two points among registered voters in the survey conducted the previous year, while Mr. Biden led by two points among the projected likely electorate in the survey performed the year before.




Only 23 percent of Democratic primary voters said they were passionate about Mr. Biden, which is equivalent to half of the proportion of Republican primary supporters who said they were enthusiastic about Mr. Trump. This disparity in enthusiasm between the two parties is reflected in the survey on multiple occasions. A far higher percentage of Democrats (32 percent) expressed dissatisfaction or anger with Mr. Biden’s position as the leader of the party, in comparison to the number of Republicans who expressed the same sentiments regarding Mr. Trump (18 percent).




However, for the time being, Mr. Biden’s prospects are clearly being hindered by his dissatisfaction with the current situation of the nation. In the United States, two-thirds of the population believes that the country is moving in the wrong direction, and Mr. Trump is gaining support from sixty-three percent of those voters.

The percentage of voters who believe that the country is heading in the right direction continues to be a pitiful and insignificant minority, coming in at 24 percent. However, even this number represents a significant increase when compared to the peak inflationary days that occurred during the summer of 2022. During that time, just thirteen percent of voters believed that the nation was moving in the right way.




“We get a little better on economics if we get Trump for another four years,” said Oscar Rivera, a 39-year-old independent voter who operates a roofing business in Rochester, New York. Rivera is a constituent of the Democratic Party.

Voters Dismiss Biden's Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll
Voters Dismiss Biden’s Guidance and Support Trump, Per A Times/Siena Poll

The policies of Mr. Trump were usually seen by voters in a significantly more favorable manner than those of Mr. Biden. Forty percent of voters reported that Mr. Trump’s policies had been beneficial to them personally, whereas only eighteen percent of voters reported that Mr. Biden’s programs had been beneficial to them.




Only twelve percent of independent voters, such as Mr. Rivera, said that Mr. Biden’s policies had been beneficial to them personally, in contrast to forty-three percent who reported that his policies had been detrimental to them.

Despite the fact that Mr. Rivera, who is of Puerto Rican descent, does not agree with the manner in which Mr. Trump discusses immigration and the southern border, he intends to vote for him without hesitation. Mr. Biden? It is not clear to me,” Mr. Rivera stated. “It appears that we, the United States of America, are weak. Whoever is more powerful is needed.”



In general, Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump were tied for first place among highly valued independent voters, each receiving 42 percent of voter support.

The poll conducted by Siena and the Times, however, highlighted, time and time again, how Mr. Trump has been able to penetrate more conventional Democratic constituencies while maintaining his support among Republican groups. For example, Democrats are no longer profiting from the gender gap in the political system. Female voters, who were overwhelmingly in favor of Mr. Biden four years ago, are now evenly divided, while male voters handed Mr. Trump a nine-point advantage. According to the poll, Mr. Trump is gaining ground on Mr. Biden among Latinos, and Mr. Biden’s percentage of the vote among black voters is also gradually decreasing.




In a contest in which the Republican front-runner is facing four indictments, 91 felony counts, and a criminal trial that is scheduled to begin at the end of March in the New York State Supreme Court, there are, of course, unforeseeable X factors that can play a role.

According to the results of the poll, the percentage of voters who believe that Mr. Trump has committed severe federal crimes has decreased from 58 percent in December to 53 percent at the present time. On the other hand, when examined from a different perspective, the current lead that Mr. Trump has over Mr. Biden is constructed with a sizeable proportion of supporters who feel that he is a criminal.

In the meantime, the nation continues to be divided on a number of the most contentious internal and international problems.




The number of people who support making it more difficult for migrants at the southern border to claim asylum is quite small, with 49 percent of voters supporting this measure compared to 43 percent. Additionally, illegal border crossings reached record highs by the end of 2023. This week, both President Trump and Vice President Biden made appearances at the border, which was a duel.

As the conflict between Israel and Hamas enters its fifth month, forty percent of voters have expressed that they feel greater sympathy for Israel, in contrast to twenty-four percent who have expressed that they feel more sympathy for the Palestinian organization. Despite the fact that he has been subjected to protests and a protest vote due to his pro-Israel stance, Mr. Trump was able to gain 70 percent of those who primarily supported Israel, while Mr. Biden was able to get 68 percent of those who supported the Palestinians.




As a Democrat who lives in Decatur, Georgia, Philip Kalarickal, who is 51 years old and works as an anesthesiologist, is concerned by the way that Vice President Biden has handled the humanitarian impact of the violence in Gaza.

“Joe Biden ought to be doing more to ensure that the Israeli government goes about this in a way that provides safety for them but without the civilian toll,” Dr. Kalarickal said. He also said that he would reluctantly support Mr. Biden this autumn, given that he lives in a state that is considered to be a swing state.




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