Super Tuesday 2024 live: 16 US states will vote, with Donald Trump expected to win the primaries.

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The former president appears to have clinched the Republican presidential nomination, giving Nikki Haley one final opportunity to influence the contest.

This is an additional passage from Martin Pengelly’s analysis about the major topics that will be decided in this November’s presidential election—a rematch of Trump v. Biden, as today’s Super Tuesday results almost guarantee.

Democrats have made it clear that they will concentrate on Republican attacks on abortion rights, including the mifepristone case, the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade, and harsh state-level restrictions supported by candidates.

For Democrats, it makes tactical sense because, since Dobbs, the party has garnered significant support on rare occasions when it comes to the threat to women’s reproductive rights, and this support has undoubtedly contributed to a string of election victories, even in conservative states. The power of these strategies was once again demonstrated by the recent Alabama IVF verdict, which said that embryos should be considered legally as people. Republicans, lead by Trump, hurried to deny their desire to refuse therapy that millions of people depend on in order to produce the children they desire.

But it’s obvious that Trump finds it difficult to keep his mouth shut about nominating three judges who voted to overturn Roe v. Wade and to consider proposals for even stricter abortion restrictions. Biden and Democrats should be expected to continue striking hard.
Today, voting papers across the United States on Super Tuesday carry more than simply the presidential nomination. The primary for Dianne Feinstein’s US Senate seat in California will be one of the most closely followed races.

Super Tuesday 2024 live: 16 US states will vote, with Donald Trump expected to win the primaries.

It’s been a really strange race. Representative Adam Schiff, the Democratic front-runner, is up against Representatives Barbara Lee of Oakland and Katie Porter of Irvine, both of whom are opponents from his party. Steve Garvey, a former player for the Los Angeles Dodgers, is also included in the photo for the Republicans.

Seema Mehta of the Los Angeles Times has been following the competition, and she wrote this earlier this week:

After entering the contest, Garvey didn’t run a conventional campaign. He hasn’t hosted any significant gatherings or open get-togethers with folks around the state. He refused to participate in endorsement interviews with California’s major newspapers, never rented a campaign bus, and spent no money on television advertisements.

The top Democratic candidates for the Senate position canvassed the state throughout the last weekend before the election, with Schiff hosting seven public events, Lee attending four, and Porter taking part in two. As his Democratic rivals grabbed the final chance to court voters, Garvey remained in Palm Desert, only appearing in public through TV commercials funded by Schiff and his allies and a quick appearance on Fox News.

And why is Schiff targeting him with attack advertisements? It might all be a clever ploy. Mehta goes on:

In Schiff’s election advertisements, Garvey is portrayed as the Democratic contender in the California Senate race’s biggest threat as well as a devoted supporter of former President Trump. Even while those seem to be personal attacks on Garvey, they will likely make him more appealing to Republicans in California and help him garner enough votes in the 5 March primary to move on to the fall election.

Regardless of their political affiliation, the top two candidates from the primary will compete in November. According to a recent poll, Schiff would find it far simpler to overcome fellow Democrat Porter in a one-on-one matchup than she would do against Garvey.

Ronald Brownstein of CNN has an analytical piece that looks at the probable vulnerability of Donald Trump’s support outside of his core constituency. Brownstein wrote:

[Trump’s] record thus far underscores his success in rebranding the Republican Party in his image. He has reshaped the Republican Party into a more blue-collar, populist, and combative party, emphasizing his volatile mix of resentments against elites, as well as cultural and racial change, rather than the Ronald Reagan-era priorities of smaller government and active global leadership, which former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has emphasized.

Super Tuesday 2024 live: 16 US states will vote, with Donald Trump expected to win the primaries.

While the primaries have highlighted Trump’s hold on the Republican Party, they have also revealed his continued vulnerability in areas where he has struggled since announcing his candidacy in 2015, particularly among white-collar suburban voters who previously leaned toward the GOP. The early 2024 primary contests revealed that a sizable proportion of Republican-leaning people remain opposed to Trump’s vision.

Despite his impressive successes, he has struggled with college-educated voters and moderates. Trump has received approximately 40% of independent voters who participated in the three contests when exit or entrance polls of voters were performed.

My colleague Martin Pengelly in Washington provides this analysis of the top issues that will decide the 2024 US presidential election, including the economy:

“It’s the economy, stupid.” In 1992, while serving as Bill Clinton’s adviser, Democratic strategist James Carville said this. Most Americans believed that economic stewardship should change, and Clinton defeated incumbent President George HW Bush.
More than 30 years later, under Biden, the post-Covid recovery is still on track. Unemployment is low, and equities are at an all-time high. That should bode well, but the main question is whether enough Americans believe the economy is robust under Biden, that it is working for them, or that Trump was a safer pair of hands (ignoring the mess of Covid). According to polls, many people prefer Trump. Cost-of-living concerns predominate in such surveys. Inflation is a concern. Republican threats to social security and Medicare may alleviate Biden’s concerns. Such risks must be downplayed by Trump, whose support is predominantly older, despite the fact that they are included in Republicans’ own transition plans.

According to Niall Stange of The Hill, Nikki Haley’s victory in Washington DC may be counterproductive in her efforts to entice Republican primary voters away from Donald Trump. It undoubtedly handed the Trump campaign a new attack line against Clinton. He wrote:

Haley won her first election on Sunday, taking the District of Columbia primary. That victory was historic, according to her campaign, as it made her the first woman to win a Republican presidential primary.

However, DC’s victory does not alter the course of the race, nor does it portend future events. The Republican electorate in the District is far from typical of the party’s grassroots across the country.

The Trump campaign seized upon this point. According to press secretary Karoline Leavitt, Haley was “crowned Queen of the Swamp by lobbyists and DC insiders that want to protect the failed status quo.”

Will Super Tuesday be the end of Nikki Haley’s campaign?

Super Tuesday 2024 live: 16 US states will vote, with Donald Trump expected to win the primaries.

What are Nikki Haley’s prospects today? Well, she has done best in Democratic-leaning districts, as indicated by her victory in the Washington, DC primary on Sunday, her first of the campaign. She has also profited from independents and Democrats participating in Republican primaries, implying that her best results may come in states with open primaries, which are not confined to registered Republicans.

Here’s what my colleague Joan E Greve said:

Could this be Haley’s final stand? Most likely yes. Despite losing to Trump by 20 points in her home state of South Carolina, Haley promised to battle until Super Tuesday, saying that Republican voters deserved the opportunity to vote in the primary.

“In the next 10 days, another 21 states and territories will speak,” Haley remarked following the South Carolina primary on February 24th. “They are entitled to a meaningful choice, not a Soviet-style election with only one candidate. And I have a responsibility to provide them that option.”

However, Haley has been secretive about her plans after Super Tuesday, and many election watchers believe she will shortly retire. With only one win in Washington, DC, Haley will struggle to justify her continued candidacy.

What is at stake for Joe Biden on Super Tuesday?

Joe Biden has no serious opposition for the Democratic candidacy, since both of his biggest opponents, Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips and self-help author Marianne Williamson, have yet to gain any delegates, according to the Associated Press’ tracker.

However, Super Tuesday gives an opportunity for Biden to secure some clear victories following his uneven performance in the Michigan primary last week. Biden received an astounding 81% of the vote in Michigan, but more than 100,000 voters cast “uncommitted” ballots after leftist groups persuaded them to do so in protest of the Gaza conflict. Many on the left have urged Biden to do more to bring about a truce.

In a statement delivered last Tuesday after Michigan polls closed, Biden celebrated his victory but made no note of the “uncommitted” turnout, which enraged the campaign’s leftist organizers.

“You’ve heard me say it many times: it’s never a good bet to bet against the United States of America,” Biden remarked. “This struggle for our freedoms, working families, and democracy will require all of us to work together. I know we will.”

Super Tuesday may give Biden the opportunity to demonstrate that the Democratic Party is already banding together to oppose Trump in November.

Super Tuesday 2024 live: 16 US states will vote, with Donald Trump expected to win the primaries.

Yesterday, my colleague David Smith had a scene-setter for today, speaking with Frank Luntz, a political strategist and pollster who had a long history of advising Republican candidates before Trump took control of the party. Lunz informed the Guardian:

It never meant less. I don’t know of any political event that received greater attention yet being less relevant. The choice was made. The choice is apparent. You know who the two nominees are, and 70% of Americans would rather that it not be so.

The polling gap between Trump and Biden is increasing as Biden collapses. Joe Biden is becoming weaker even as the economy strengthens and things improve on the ground. In America, that would be considered a three-alarm fire. The lights flash, and people shout, but Joe Biden does not hear them.

Here are some of the details of what’s going on today. The following states are involved: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia. American Samoa will be caucusing.

Because of the spread from northern to southern states and east to west coasts on the US mainland, results may take some time to arrive.

According to the Associated Press, Super Tuesday has the highest delegate count of any day in the primary calendar, accounting for more than one-third of the total delegates available in each party’s nomination process and more than 70% of the delegates required to mathematically clinch either party’s candidacy. However, neither Trump nor Biden will be able to claim the label of “presumptive nominee” at the end of the day.

The earliest that might occur is March 12 for Trump and March 19 for Biden. To secure the nomination that day, Trump would need to win almost 90% of the nearly 1,100 delegates up for grabs up to that point. To be nominated by March 19, Biden would need to win approximately 77% of the almost 2,300 delegates at stake.

And while we wait for the findings and delegates to be allotted, many people in the United States will be questioning Biden and Trump’s mental capacity. According to a Monday poll, 63% of Americans are not very or not at all confident in Biden’s mental capacity, while 57% are similarly skeptical of Trump.

Trump wins the North Dakota Republican caucus.

Donald Trump is projected to win the North Dakota Republican caucuses on Monday, extending his lead in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

As his campaign approaches Super Tuesday, the former president will most certainly increase his advantage against Nikki Haley to all 29 of North Dakota’s delegates. If he receives at least 60% of the vote, he is guaranteed all of the delegates. If his vote is less than 60%, the delegates will be divided proportionally between Trump and Haley.

According to the Associated Press, North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum told Republican caucusgoers in a virtual address:

I believe we are going to send a message that will serve as a kick-off to tomorrow, which is that President Donald Trump is going to close this out, that this is the end of the trail, and that we have a nominee, and let us go after it and defeat Joe Biden in the fall.

In addition to Trump and Haley, there were two more candidates on the ballot. The other candidates were Florida businessman David Stuckenberg and Texas businessman and clergyman Ryan Binkley, whose campaign had lately terminated.

The Democratic Party’s North Dakota primary takes place on March 30.

Super Tuesday is one of the most anticipated events of the US presidential cycle, when the race for president is shaken up as 16 states and one territory vote or declare their results.

For the Republicans, former President Donald Trump is so far ahead of his lone rival, Nikki Haley, that the main question is whether she would continue to campaign after tonight’s results, despite just winning her first primary in the District of Columbia.

And while there are no credible contenders to incumbent President Joe Biden, there is an opportunity to assess the extent to which Democratic Party voters remain enthusiastic about the man they sent to the White House to replace Trump just over three years ago.

US politics in 2024 are going to be a dumpster fire of a year.
Donald Trump’s Statement Following the Supreme Court Session

North Dakota held its Republican presidential caucuses yesterday, and Donald Trump is projected to win decisively, according to the Associated Press. However, the turnout was modest.

Joe Biden established a “strike force” to combat “unfair and illegal” prices. According to the Biden administration, the new panel will target firms “when they try to rip off Americans”.

The United States Supreme Court ruled on Monday that Donald Trump was wrongfully removed from Colorado’s primary ballot last year.

People confined in state-run prisons in Texas and Florida are particularly vulnerable to severe heat conditions aggravated by the climate catastrophe.

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