The Buffalo Bills face the Miami Dolphins’ record-setting offense in their first game of the 2023-24 NFL season coming Sunday. They’re all too familiar with their AFC East foe, so expect an exciting game. As a result, we have offered our best Dolphins vs. Bills prediction for you to use.
Along with that is a $1,000 PointsBet Sportsbook promotion, and if you live in Kentucky and are searching for a sportsbook to start your sports betting adventure now that online sports betting is allowed, go no further than our Kentucky Betting Sites, Apps, and Guide.
Since the end of Tom Brady’s tenure with the New England Patriots, the Buffalo Bills have dominated the AFC East. That’s largely due to NFL MVP candidate QB Josh Allen’s stature, which makes him an outstanding dual threat who touches the ball every play.
However, it is the Dolphins’ speed that is posing big problems for the opponents this season. So, will Buffalo be able to keep up with NFL Offensive Player of the Year contender WR Tyreek Hill and company? That’s what our Dolphins vs. Bills prediction is here to help answer, so let’s take a look at our top Dolphins vs. Bills choice.
The oddsmakers have the Bills as 2.5-point favorites this week, just under the vital number of three, as if they’re enticing us to take Buffalo. Regardless, we’ll concentrate on a distinct market of Dolphins vs. Bills odds.
Despite winning both games versus Miami last season, the Bills failed to cover the spread in both. In reality, both were three-point victories, and we’d prefer not break another sweat. As a result, our Dolphins vs. Bills pick is based on the total (over/under). Given the Dolphins’ unprecedented pace after three weeks, oddsmakers have set a lofty total of 53.5 points.
Even so, we’ll take the lead. Both of last week’s games went over the total, and before you say they were set lower, they went over. The first game was won by 16.5 points (61 points), and the second game was won by 20.5 points (65 points). So, do we even need to mention the Dolphins’ incredible 70-point performance last weekend?
The Bills have also scored 37 and 38 points in the last two weeks. All of this, combined with the return of WR Jaylen Waddle for the Dolphins, means our best Dolphins versus. Bills prediction is over 53.5 points (-112 at PointsBet Sportsbook).
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Last Saturday, the Bills defeated the Washington Commanders 37-3, and the following players stood out:
QB Josh Allen: 218 yards throwing, two touchdowns total.
RB James Cook had 15 carries for 98 yards.
Stefon Diggs, wide receiver: eight receptions, 111 yards
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Thursday features an NFC North rivalry game between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers, with the former trying to win the division for the first time and the latter looking to avenge last season’s Lambeau Field elimination from postseason contention. First place will be at stake.

The Atlanta Falcons and Jacksonville Jaguars face in London on Sunday morning (9:30 a.m. ET on ESPN+ or Disney+). Following that football brunch, the winless Carolina Panthers play the winless Minnesota Vikings, while the woeful Denver Broncos (0-3) visit the equally terrible Chicago Bears (0-3).
The game of the weekend, though, has to be the meeting of the undefeated Miami Dolphins and the AFC East foe Buffalo Bills in Orchard Park, New York, a rematch of last season’s wild-card fight, which Fins QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) missed. As hot as Miami (3-0) is after a 70-point performance, the Bills (2-1) are also on a roll, winning their last two games by a combined score of 75-13.
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If you’ve been paying attention to NFL buzz this week, you’ve probably heard about two things: Taylor Swift and the Miami Dolphins offense.
Because there isn’t a real betting angle with Tay Tay (yet), let’s talk about the Dolphins offense.
Miami’s offense is excellent. Anyone who has followed the Dolphins knows this. Tua Tagovailoa is the MVP frontrunner right now, even though the award is largely worthless in September. Mike McDaniel is imaginative and entertaining.
The trouble is, everyone needs to outdo each other in praising the Dolphins. Some of the same folks who were skeptical of Tagovailoa a week or two ago are now nonchalantly claiming the Dolphins have one of the best offenses ever. Following three games. They did, in fact, score 70 points last week. In Week 2, they scored seven points on their final seven drives against the only good defense they faced, the New England Patriots.
That’s not to suggest the Dolphins aren’t talented. By the conclusion of the season, they might be one of the best offenses ever. It’s that NFL coverage is frequently a victim of the moment. Recency bias can be profitable for bettors.
The Buffalo Bills are a fantastic team. They were excellent last season, finishing first in DVOA. They were also good the previous year. They’ve also been pretty good this season. The entire world has watched them lose to the New York Jets in Week 1, then go on to be nearly flawless since. It’s easier to speak about a team scoring 70 points than it is to talk about a Bills defense that had nine sacks, forced five turnovers, scored on an interception return, and held Washington to a meaningless field goal in the final minute.
This week, I’ll tone down the hoopla. It’s not being critical of the Dolphins, but rather realizing that the Bills are much better than they are given credit for. At BetMGM, the Bills are -2.5, and I’ll gladly take them giving up less than a field goal at home. And if the Dolphins go on the road and destroy the Bills defense, expect the excitement to spiral out of hand.